Shonan Bellmare 1-0 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
15%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.99/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.13
+36% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.04 xG 0.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
340 Passes 366
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
03.11.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-2 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
22.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
03.12.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
09.04.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-2 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
08.10.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-2 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-0
AWAY FC Tokyo
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare edged past FC Tokyo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Shonan Bellmare made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 33% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 67%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 0.67 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs FC Tokyo?

Shonan Bellmare 1-0 FC Tokyo in the Japan - League Cup on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 39%, draw 28%, FC Tokyo 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✗ BTTS Yes
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