FC Tokyo 0-2 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 28% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.61
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.6
X/2
10%
5.71
X/X
8%
4.75
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
21%
3.71
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.27/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.19
+9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
16.2 Crosses 16.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.78 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
377 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
03.12.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
09.04.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-2 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
08.10.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-2 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
18.06.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
13.04.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
0-2
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.18 xG 0.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
371 Passes 234
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare beat FC Tokyo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Shonan Bellmare found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 60% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 40%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.18 to 0.58 — on chances, FC Tokyo could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.33 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare?

FC Tokyo 0-2 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 40%, draw 24%, Shonan Bellmare 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Tokyo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✓ BTTS No
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