Shonan Bellmare 0-1 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 32% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.34
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
10%
5.21
X/2
17%
6.07
X/X
11%
4.6
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
16%
4.14
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -7%
1.28/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.05
-20% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.6 Crosses 14.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 0.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 Passes 392
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
09.04.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-2 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
08.10.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-2 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
18.06.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
13.04.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
26.03.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-1 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
0-1
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.63 xG 0.95
55% Ball Possession 45%
25 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
376 Passes 318
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
42 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo edged past Shonan Bellmare 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 38% — and on the day FC Tokyo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 55% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 45%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 1.63 to 0.95 — the balance of chances actually favoured Shonan Bellmare.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 1.00 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs FC Tokyo?

Shonan Bellmare 0-1 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 38%, draw 23%, FC Tokyo 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/23/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
22 Jun 2024
09:00 Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →
12:00 Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
12:00 Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus Analysis →
12:30 Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
12:30 Jubilo Iwata vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
13:00 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →