Sagan Tosu vs Machida Zelvia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sagan Tosu v Machida Zelvia — Team-Based Signals
Sagan Tosu vs Machida Zelvia Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Sagan Tosu 2-1 Machida Zelvia — Actual Match Statistics
Sagan Tosu squeezed past Machida Zelvia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Machida Zelvia at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Sagan Tosu had 41% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 59%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.56 to 0.75.
What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Machida Zelvia?
Sagan Tosu 2-1 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Machida Zelvia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 26%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.