Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Machida Zelvia v Sagan Tosu — Team-Based Signals
Machida Zelvia 3-1 Sagan Tosu — Actual Match Statistics
Machida Zelvia got the better of Sagan Tosu 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Machida Zelvia had 38% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 62%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.84 to 0.78.
What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu?
Machida Zelvia 3-1 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J1 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 52%, draw 23%, Sagan Tosu 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.