Albirex Niigata 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Mar 2024

Albirex Niigata
1-1 HT 0-1
Kashiwa Reysol
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.62
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.64
1/2
12%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
13%
4.75
X/2
8%
5.67
X/X
15%
3.61
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.66
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albirex Niigata v Kashiwa Reysol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +4%
1.10/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.11
-16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +50%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.4 Crosses 15.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.10 xG 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
492 Passes 303
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.06.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
07.05.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
19.04.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-2 HT 1-2 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JLK
05.04.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-0 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
31.08.2019 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
26.08.2017 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 1-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP

Albirex Niigata 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
1-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.89 xG 2.74
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 10
583 Passes 274
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata and Kashiwa Reysol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 65% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 35%, shots finished 12-22, expected goals 0.89 to 2.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Albirex Niigata and 0.83 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Albirex Niigata 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 38%, draw 29%, Kashiwa Reysol 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Albirex Niigata), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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