Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Gamba Osaka — Team-Based Signals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Gamba Osaka
JAP
1-2
HT 0-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JAP
5-2
HT 1-2
Gamba Osaka
JAP
2-0
HT 2-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JAP
1-2
HT 1-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JAP
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Gamba Osaka — Actual Match Statistics
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 61% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 39%, shots finished 18-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.33 for Gamba Osaka.
What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 56%, draw 22%, Gamba Osaka 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.