Vissel Kobe 6-1 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
16%
3.77
X/2
9%
10.6
X/X
14%
5.33
2/1
5%
23.15
2/2
10%
8.43
2/X
4%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.89/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.70
+25% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
432 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.4 Crosses 15.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 1.71
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 424
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.07.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-1 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
25.02.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-3 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
13.08.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-2 HT 0-2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
29.05.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 4-1 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
18.09.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
20.03.2021 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 3-4 HT 2-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
6-1
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
3.30 xG 0.26
38% Ball Possession 62%
25 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
226 Passes 445
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
44 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe cruised past Consadole Sapporo 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 38% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 62%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 3.30 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Vissel Kobe and 1.00 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Consadole Sapporo?

Vissel Kobe 6-1 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J1 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 52%, draw 24%, Consadole Sapporo 24%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
30 Mar 2024
07:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka Analysis →
08:00 Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol Analysis →
09:00 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →
09:00 Kashima Antlers vs Jubilo Iwata Analysis →
09:00 Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu Analysis →
09:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo Analysis →