Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 25% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.54
X/2
10%
7.43
X/X
11%
4.98
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
12%
5.29
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.44/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.39
+31% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
392 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
15.5 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
369 Passes 346
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
12.05.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-1 HT 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
05.11.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-3 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
18.02.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
02.10.2021 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
11.04.2021 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-4 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3-0
AWAY FC Tokyo
2.92 xG 0.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
362 Passes 346
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale ran out comfortable winners over FC Tokyo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 50% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 50%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.92 to 0.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.00 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo?

Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 47%, draw 26%, FC Tokyo 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ BTTS Yes
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