Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 30 Mar 2024

Urawa Red Diamonds
2-1 HT 0-1
Avispa Fukuoka
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.79
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.83
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.5
X/1
12%
4.01
X/2
10%
7.33
X/X
13%
3.64
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
12%
6.53
2/X
7%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Urawa Red Diamonds v Avispa Fukuoka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +19%
1.58/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.01
+17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.8 Crosses 21.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Avispa Fukuoka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 0.68
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
469 Passes 229
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-3 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
04.11.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 2-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
20.05.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
05.11.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
28.05.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
27.06.2021 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP

Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
2.68 xG 0.19
72% Ball Possession 28%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
550 Passes 168
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds edged past Avispa Fukuoka 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Urawa Red Diamonds as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 72% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 28%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.68 to 0.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Urawa Red Diamonds's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 1.00 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 43%, draw 28%, Avispa Fukuoka 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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