Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.18
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.07
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.5
X/1
12%
5.89
X/2
15%
4.52
X/X
14%
3.47
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.51
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.7pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
0.96/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.13
-29% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
16.8 Crosses 17.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 0.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
223 Passes 330
64% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 HT 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
22.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
23.09.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
18.06.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
26.03.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 3-3 HT 1-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
04.03.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
2-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.55 xG 0.56
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
242 Passes 307
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka squeezed past Kashiwa Reysol 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Avispa Fukuoka found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 46% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 54%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.55 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.00 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 33%, draw 30%, Kashiwa Reysol 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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