Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.38
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.88
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
12%
4.04
X/2
10%
6.92
X/X
17%
3.88
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
11%
6.04
2/X
7%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +23%
1.31/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.04
-9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.8 Crosses 20.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.61 xG 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
374 Passes 224
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
23.09.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
18.06.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
26.03.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 3-3 HT 1-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
04.03.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
29.10.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
0-2
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.27 xG 0.38
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
292 Passes 161
69% Pass Accuracy 53%
26 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka got the better of Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Avispa Fukuoka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 58% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 42%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.27 to 0.38 — on chances, Kashiwa Reysol could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.83 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 40%, draw 30%, Avispa Fukuoka 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
2 Jun 2024
07:05 Tokyo Verdy vs Consadole Sapporo Analysis →
11:15 Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus Analysis →