Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 33% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.1
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.72
X/2
12%
6.15
X/X
11%
4.78
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
21%
4.47
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.34/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.12
-2% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
435 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.4 Crosses 14.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 0.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
515 Passes 332
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.07.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-0 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
15.04.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 HT 0-2 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
14.09.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
12.03.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
04.05.2021 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
29.04.2021 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-4 HT 0-3 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2-1
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
2.47 xG 3.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 7
395 Passes 391
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 41
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale edged past Nagoya Grampus 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Kawasaki Frontale made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 49% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 51%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 2.47 to 3.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nagoya Grampus.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.17 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?

Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 35%, draw 27%, Nagoya Grampus 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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