Tokyo Verdy 5-3 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒07:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
17%
4.82
X/2
13%
6.74
X/X
11%
4.31
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
11%
4.9
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
2.22/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.40
+12% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
22.5 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
24.01.2016 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-0 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo HAZ
04.10.2015 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-2 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
05.04.2015 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
01.11.2014 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-0 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
29.04.2014 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
5-3
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
2.53 xG 1.29
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
256 Passes 516
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy got the better of Consadole Sapporo 5-3. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tokyo Verdy as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 36% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 64%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.53 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 0.60 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Consadole Sapporo?

Tokyo Verdy 5-3 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J1 League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 42%, draw 28%, Consadole Sapporo 29%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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