JEF United vs FC Tokyo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
JEF United v FC Tokyo — Team-Based Signals
JEF United vs FC Tokyo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
JEF United
JPK
2-1
HT 1-1
FC Tokyo
JAP
0-1
HT 0-1
FC Tokyo
JLK
1-2
HT 1-0
JEF United
JAP
1-1
HT 1-0
JEF United
JAP
JEF United 1-2 FC Tokyo — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tokyo nicked a narrow win over JEF United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Tokyo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, JEF United had 46% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 54%, shots finished 11-25, expected goals 1.10 to 2.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Tokyo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for JEF United and 1.17 for FC Tokyo.
What was the final score of JEF United vs FC Tokyo?
JEF United 1-2 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for JEF United vs FC Tokyo?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split JEF United 22%, draw 23%, FC Tokyo 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tokyo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.