Vissel Kobe 2-2 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 33% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
19%
4.36
X/2
10%
7.17
X/X
15%
4.13
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
12%
5.7
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.38/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.33
-12% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
381 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.5 Crosses 15.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
345 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
03.12.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
04.03.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 4-0 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
18.09.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
08.05.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-0 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
21.07.2021 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-2 HT 1-2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
2-2
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.69 xG 0.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
233 Passes 324
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe and Gamba Osaka shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 43% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 57%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.69 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vissel Kobe and 1.00 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Gamba Osaka?

Vissel Kobe 2-2 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 41%, draw 31%, Gamba Osaka 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
17 Aug 2024
12:00 Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds Analysis →
12:00 Machida Zelvia vs Jubilo Iwata Analysis →
13:00 Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →
13:00 FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy Analysis →
13:00 Shonan Bellmare vs Kashiwa Reysol Analysis →
13:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis →