Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 10 Jul 2024

📅10/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.61 — our 25% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+12.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 23%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.19/2.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.16
-38% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +43%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
531 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
2-2
AWAY Mito HollyHock
66% Ball Possession 34%
34 Total Shots 16
21 Shots on Target 13
14 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos and Mito HollyHock shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Yokohama F. Marinos at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 66% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 34%, shots finished 34-16.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito HollyHock?

Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 47%, draw 21%, Mito HollyHock 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5
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