Mathare United 0-2 APS Bomet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 10 May 2026

Mathare United
0-2 HT 0-1
APS Bomet
📅10/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Mathare United vs APS Bomet Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.4pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mathare United v APS Bomet — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mathare United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY APS Bomet EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.52/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.96
+58% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +111% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Mathare United vs APS Bomet Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mathare United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY APS Bomet
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
09.11.2025 APS Bomet APS Bomet 1-1 HT 0-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN

Mathare United 0-2 APS Bomet — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mathare United
0-2
AWAY APS Bomet
60% Ball Possession 40%
5 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mathare United vs APS Bomet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APS Bomet saw off Mathare United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; APS Bomet found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mathare United had 60% of the ball to APS Bomet's 40%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of Mathare United vs APS Bomet?

Mathare United 0-2 APS Bomet in the Kenya - Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mathare United vs APS Bomet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mathare United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 39%, draw 34%, APS Bomet 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mathare United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mathare United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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