09/11/2025
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
APS Bomet vs Mathare United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
36%
Draw
31%
27%
Away Win
29%
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
58%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
APS Bomet v Mathare United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
APS Bomet
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mathare United
EU Bookmakers 33%
-54% /
-54%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+26% /
+26%
0.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.48/0.52
-100%
/
-59%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+58%
/
+83%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
265 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
321 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
APS Bomet vs Mathare United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
APS Bomet and Mathare United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 36% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
What was the final score of APS Bomet vs Mathare United?
APS Bomet 1-1 Mathare United in the Kenya - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for APS Bomet vs Mathare United?
Before kick-off our model rated a APS Bomet win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split APS Bomet 38%, draw 36%, Mathare United 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (APS Bomet), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (APS Bomet)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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KEN
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9 Nov 2025