Police 0-2 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
38%
2.7
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.4
No
68%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
24%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.7pp
38%
Draw
34%
+4.3pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.0pp
32%
BTTS Yes
38%
-5.6pp
68%
BTTS No
62%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 42%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.00/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.54
+9% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +75%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Police
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Gor Mahia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Police Police 1-0 HT 0-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
03.02.2024 Police Police 3-1 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
06.11.2021 Police Police 1-1 HT 0-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Police
0-2
AWAY Gor Mahia
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Police vs Gor Mahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia got the better of Police 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 38% / 31% — and on the day Gor Mahia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

On the day, Police had 49% of the ball to Gor Mahia's 51%, shots finished 4-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Police had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Police and 0.67 for Gor Mahia.

What was the final score of Police vs Gor Mahia?

Police 0-2 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police vs Gor Mahia?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Police 31%, draw 38%, Gor Mahia 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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