Police 1-0 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
31%
-6.7pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.35
+8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Police
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gor Mahia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Police Police 3-1 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
06.11.2021 Police Police 1-1 HT 0-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
POST-MATCH Police vs Gor Mahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police edged past Gor Mahia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Police made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Police had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Police and 1.00 for Gor Mahia.

What was the final score of Police vs Gor Mahia?

Police 1-0 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police vs Gor Mahia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Police 37%, draw 25%, Gor Mahia 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gor Mahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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