Homeboyz 1-1 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
38%
2.7
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.67
No
64%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
8%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.0pp
38%
Draw
34%
+3.9pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
33%
+2.8pp
64%
BTTS No
67%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
0.56/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.51
-31% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -69%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homeboyz
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
02.04.2022 Homeboyz Homeboyz 4-0 HT 1-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2
17.03.2022 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0-1 HT 0-1 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Homeboyz
1-1
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homeboyz and Ulinzi Stars shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 38% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (75%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Homeboyz had 52% of the ball to Ulinzi Stars's 48%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Homeboyz had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Homeboyz and 0.00 for Ulinzi Stars.

What was the final score of Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars?

Homeboyz 1-1 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Homeboyz 31%, draw 38%, Ulinzi Stars 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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