TransMara Sugar 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 33%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.25
+23% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH TransMara Sugar vs Kariobangi Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransMara Sugar nicked a narrow win over Kariobangi Sharks 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day TransMara Sugar made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Kariobangi Sharks?

TransMara Sugar 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransMara Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 37%, draw 32%, Kariobangi Sharks 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TransMara Sugar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TransMara Sugar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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