Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Shabana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
38%
2.77
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.5pp
38%
Draw
33%
+5.6pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabana EU Bookmakers 39%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.54/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.45
-43% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +98%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulinzi Stars
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Shabana
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.09.2024 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 2-2 HT 1-1 Shabana Shabana KEN
29.10.2023 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 4-0 Shabana Shabana KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulinzi Stars
0-1
AWAY Shabana
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabana nicked a narrow win over Ulinzi Stars 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 38% / 30% — and on the day Shabana made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%) came in.

On the day, Ulinzi Stars had 50% of the ball to Shabana's 50%, shots finished 21-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ulinzi Stars had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Ulinzi Stars and 1.00 for Shabana.

What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana?

Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 32%, draw 38%, Shabana 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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