Ulinzi Stars 2-2 Shabana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

Ulinzi Stars
2-2 HT 1-1
Shabana
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.48
Over 2.5
49%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
64%
-13.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
36%
+13.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ulinzi Stars v Shabana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabana EU Bookmakers 31%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.00/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulinzi Stars
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shabana
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 4-0 Shabana Shabana KEN
POST-MATCH Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulinzi Stars and Shabana couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ulinzi Stars at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana?

Ulinzi Stars 2-2 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 45%, draw 28%, Shabana 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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