Tusker 2-2 Homeboyz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

Tusker
2-2 HT 2-1
Homeboyz
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Tusker vs Homeboyz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
38%
3.11
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.51
Over 2.5
28%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-10.8pp
38%
Draw
28%
+9.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
72%
Under 2.5
62%
+9.3pp
28%
Over 2.5
38%
-9.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.4pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tusker v Homeboyz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tusker EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 28%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.51
+140% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -56%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tusker vs Homeboyz Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tusker
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Homeboyz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Homeboyz Homeboyz 2-1 HT 2-0 Tusker Tusker KEN
23.12.2021 Homeboyz Homeboyz 1-0 HT 1-0 Tusker Tusker KEN
POST-MATCH Tusker vs Homeboyz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker and Homeboyz couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 38% / 25% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Homeboyz led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tusker and 1.50 for Homeboyz.

What was the final score of Tusker vs Homeboyz?

Tusker 2-2 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tusker vs Homeboyz?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tusker 37%, draw 38%, Homeboyz 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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