SK Poltava 0-4 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
12.23
Draw
14%
8.78
Away
79%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
15%
1/X
3%
X/1
2%
X/2
23%
X/X
3%
2/1
2%
2/2
42%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
5%
+2.3pp
14%
Draw
8%
+6.7pp
79%
Away Win
88%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SK Poltava EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 94%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.33/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.62
+84% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +45%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
265 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 544 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SK Poltava
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 7.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.11.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 7-1 HT 2-0 SK Poltava SK Poltava UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SK Poltava
0-4
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
24% Ball Possession 76%
6 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SK Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk swept aside SK Poltava 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SK Poltava had 24% of the ball to Shakhtar Donetsk's 76%, shots finished 6-25.

What was the final score of SK Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

SK Poltava 0-4 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SK Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split SK Poltava 7%, draw 14%, Shakhtar Donetsk 79%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →