Ho Chi Minh 3-1 Song Lam Nghe An — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ho Chi Minh EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
0.85/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.32
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ho Chi Minh
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 2-3 HT 2-1 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
06.04.2025 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 1-1 HT 0-0 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
02.11.2024 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 0-0 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
13.05.2024 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 0-0 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
22.12.2023 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 1-0 HT 0-0 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
15.07.2023 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 2-0 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ho Chi Minh
3-1
AWAY Song Lam Nghe An
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ho Chi Minh got the better of Song Lam Nghe An 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ho Chi Minh as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ho Chi Minh had 59% of the ball to Song Lam Nghe An's 41%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ho Chi Minh had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ho Chi Minh and 0.83 for Song Lam Nghe An.

What was the final score of Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An?

Ho Chi Minh 3-1 Song Lam Nghe An in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ho Chi Minh win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ho Chi Minh 47%, draw 28%, Song Lam Nghe An 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ho Chi Minh), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ho Chi Minh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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VİET More Vietnam - V-League 1
10 May 2026
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