Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 2-1 Shahin Bandar Ameri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 10 Jun 2024

📅10/06/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-12.5pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahin Bandar Ameri EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
0.75/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.94
-53% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -39%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Shahin Bandar Ameri
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
20.12.2023 Shahin Bandar Ameri Shahin Bandar Ameri 1-0 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
04.05.2023 Shahin Bandar Ameri Shahin Bandar Ameri 1-0 HT 1-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
18.11.2022 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Shahin Bandar Ameri Shahin Bandar Ameri IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Shahin Bandar Ameri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC nicked a narrow win over Shahin Bandar Ameri 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mes Shahr-e Babak FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shahin Bandar Ameri led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC and 0.67 for Shahin Bandar Ameri.

What was the final score of Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Shahin Bandar Ameri?

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 2-1 Shahin Bandar Ameri in the Iran - Azadegan League on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Shahin Bandar Ameri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Shahr-e Babak FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 46%, draw 32%, Shahin Bandar Ameri 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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