Naft Gachsaran 3-0 Shahrdari Astara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 10 Jun 2024

📅10/06/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
44%
2.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
11%
5.93
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.14 — our 44% vs market 39.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahrdari Astara EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.20/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.04
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Gachsaran
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shahrdari Astara
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.12.2023 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 0-3 HT 0-1 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs Shahrdari Astara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran ran out comfortable winners over Shahrdari Astara 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naft Gachsaran as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs Shahrdari Astara?

Naft Gachsaran 3-0 Shahrdari Astara in the Iran - Azadegan League on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs Shahrdari Astara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Gachsaran win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 41%, draw 29%, Shahrdari Astara 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft Gachsaran), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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