Cerro 3-0 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 10 Jun 2024

Cerro
3-0 HT 1-0
Nacional de Football
📅10/06/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Cerro vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
53%
Away Win
59%
-5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerro v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
0.75/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.79
-6% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
245 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Cerro vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.04.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 0-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
16.10.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU
03.06.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
04.03.2023 Cerro Cerro 2-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
28.02.2021 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
07.09.2020 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 5-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU

Cerro 3-0 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
3-0
AWAY Nacional de Football
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro cruised past Nacional de Football 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional de Football at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cerro had 35% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 65%, shots finished 9-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro and 2.17 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Nacional de Football?

Cerro 3-0 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 10/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cerro 21%, draw 26%, Nacional de Football 53%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional de Football), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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