Cerro vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
Cerro vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Cerro
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Nacional de Football
URU
2-2
HT 1-1
Nacional de Football
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
5-1
HT 1-1
Cerro
URU
2-0
HT 1-0
Cerro
URU
Cerro 1-2 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football edged past Cerro 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cerro had 29% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 71%, shots finished 7-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cerro and 2.17 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of Cerro vs Nacional de Football?
Cerro 1-2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cerro 25%, draw 28%, Nacional de Football 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.