Cerro vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cerro v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
Cerro vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cerro 1-2 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football edged past Cerro 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Nacional de Football saw more of the ball, 71% to 29%, shots finished 7-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Cerro against 2.17 for Nacional de Football.
Cerro vs Nacional de Football Result & Final Score
Cerro 1 - 2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cerro vs Nacional de Football Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Cerro 17%, draw 25%, Nacional de Football 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.