Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 Centro Atletico Fenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.9pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.46/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.11
+16% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 HT 2-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
02.07.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 3-0 HT 3-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
12.03.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
05.10.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 4-1 HT 4-1 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
29.08.2015 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 3-1 HT 2-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
24.05.2015 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-1 HT 2-1 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
2-0
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Centro Atletico Fenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo beat Centro Atletico Fenix 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Racing Club Montevideo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 47% of the ball to Centro Atletico Fenix's 53%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.33 for Centro Atletico Fenix.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 Centro Atletico Fenix in the Uruguay - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 38%, draw 32%, Centro Atletico Fenix 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
29 Apr 2024
00:00 Cerro vs Nacional de Football Analysis →
02:30 Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers Analysis →