Excelsior Maassluis 2-1 Ijsselmeervogels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — HOL3, 10 Jun 2026

📅10/06/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
45%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
45%
Away Win
34%
+11.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ijsselmeervogels EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Ijsselmeervogels
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 2.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
177 Passes 397
58% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 0
18.04.2026 Ijsselmeervogels Ijsselmeervogels 0-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
15.11.2025 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-4 HT 0-1 Ijsselmeervogels Ijsselmeervogels HOLTW
09.02.2019 Ijsselmeervogels Ijsselmeervogels 2-2 HT 1-2 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
2-1
AWAY Ijsselmeervogels
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs Ijsselmeervogels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis nicked a narrow win over Ijsselmeervogels 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ijsselmeervogels at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 59% of the ball to Ijsselmeervogels's 41%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ijsselmeervogels led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 2.00 for Ijsselmeervogels.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs Ijsselmeervogels?

Excelsior Maassluis 2-1 Ijsselmeervogels in the HOL3 on 10/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs Ijsselmeervogels?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ijsselmeervogels win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 32%, draw 23%, Ijsselmeervogels 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ijsselmeervogels) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ijsselmeervogels) ✓ BTTS Yes
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