Central Coast II 3-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 Jul 2024

Central Coast II
3-2 HT 2-2
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
📅10/07/2024 · 🕒13:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Central Coast II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.46
Over 2.5
60%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+10.1pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.5pp
58%
Away Win
71%
-12.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
25%
+14.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
75%
-14.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.3pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast II v APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast II EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 75%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.85/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.13
-11% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -22%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 475 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
9.9 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Central Coast II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast II
0W-0D-3L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.48 xG 1.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
282 Passes 376
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
6 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.02.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-1 HT 3-0 Central Coast II Central Coast II AVNPL
15.07.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 HT 0-0 Central Coast II Central Coast II AVNPL
01.04.2023 Central Coast II Central Coast II 1-2 HT 0-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Central Coast II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast II nicked a narrow win over APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. APIA Leichhardt Tigers carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Central Coast II and 2.00 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Central Coast II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Central Coast II 3-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Central Coast II 23%, draw 19%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 58%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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