APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-1 Central Coast II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-7.9pp
16%
Draw
18%
-1.0pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast II EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.86/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.31
-11% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses 11.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Central Coast II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.52 xG 0.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
376 Passes 282
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.07.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 HT 0-0 Central Coast II Central Coast II AVNPL
01.04.2023 Central Coast II Central Coast II 1-2 HT 0-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Central Coast II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers saw off Central Coast II 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 0.50 for Central Coast II.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Central Coast II?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-1 Central Coast II in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Central Coast II?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 60%, draw 16%, Central Coast II 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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