St. Albans Saints 1-3 Dandenong City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.0pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 45%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.89/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.70
+19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +103%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 20.2
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Dandenong City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
185 Passes 244
62% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.05.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-2 HT 0-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
27.02.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 2-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
05.03.2021 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-2 HT 1-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs Dandenong City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong City beat St. Albans Saints 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dandenong City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, St. Albans Saints had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Albans Saints and 1.00 for Dandenong City.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs Dandenong City?

St. Albans Saints 1-3 Dandenong City in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs Dandenong City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 30%, draw 29%, Dandenong City 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dandenong City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dandenong City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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