Charlestown City Blues 2-1 New Lambton FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-11.6pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.6pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlestown City Blues EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.75/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/3.28
-32% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlestown City Blues
2W-0D-0L
AWAY New Lambton FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2023 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 2-1 HT 0-0 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNPL
04.03.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
POST-MATCH Charlestown City Blues vs New Lambton FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlestown City Blues squeezed past New Lambton FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charlestown City Blues as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Charlestown City Blues had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Charlestown City Blues and 0.50 for New Lambton FC.

What was the final score of Charlestown City Blues vs New Lambton FC?

Charlestown City Blues 2-1 New Lambton FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlestown City Blues vs New Lambton FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlestown City Blues win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Charlestown City Blues 58%, draw 22%, New Lambton FC 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlestown City Blues), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlestown City Blues) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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