Brisbane Olympic FC 1-1 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.63
Over 2.5
66%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+7.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-9.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
34%
+0.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
66%
-0.1pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.3pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Olympic FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 51%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-58% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Brisbane Olympic FC vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Olympic FC and Moreton City Excelsior shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (65%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

What was the final score of Brisbane Olympic FC vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Brisbane Olympic FC 1-1 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Olympic FC vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Olympic FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Olympic FC 38%, draw 24%, Moreton City Excelsior 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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