Sydney United 1-2 Wollongong Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.0pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 48%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.08/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.88
+28% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.7 Crosses 19.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Wollongong Wolves
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.16 xG 1.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
364 Passes 289
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.07.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 2-1 HT 1-1 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
16.04.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
22.05.2022 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 3-4 HT 2-2 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
11.04.2021 Sydney United Sydney United 0-0 HT 0-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
18.10.2020 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 1-3 HT 1-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
30.08.2020 Sydney United Sydney United 3-1 HT 2-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs Wollongong Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wollongong Wolves edged past Sydney United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wollongong Wolves as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sydney United and 1.00 for Wollongong Wolves.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs Wollongong Wolves?

Sydney United 1-2 Wollongong Wolves in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs Wollongong Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wollongong Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 34%, draw 23%, Wollongong Wolves 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wollongong Wolves), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wollongong Wolves) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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