JIPPO 3-2 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 10 Jul 2024

JIPPO
3-2 HT 0-2
JaPS
📅10/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.73
2-3 Goals
45%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.83
6+ Goals
9%
7.84
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.73 — our 25% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JIPPO EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.00/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.95
-55% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JIPPO
2W-1D-0L
AWAY JaPS
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
12.05.2024 JaPS JaPS 1-5 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
03.03.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 2-2 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FINYK
12.10.2019 JIPPO JIPPO 8-1 HT 2-1 JaPS JaPS FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JIPPO
3-2
AWAY JaPS
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH JIPPO vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JIPPO nicked a narrow win over JaPS 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had JIPPO as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, JIPPO had 53% of the ball to JaPS's 47%, shots finished 19-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, JIPPO had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for JIPPO and 1.33 for JaPS.

What was the final score of JIPPO vs JaPS?

JIPPO 3-2 JaPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JIPPO vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a JIPPO win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split JIPPO 57%, draw 24%, JaPS 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JIPPO) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JIPPO) ✗ BTTS No
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