JaPS 1-5 JIPPO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 12 May 2024

JaPS
1-5 HT 0-0
JIPPO
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
31%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
3.26
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.61
6+ Goals
7%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 39% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
32%
+13.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-9.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY JIPPO EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.49/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.92
+15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
0W-1D-1L
AWAY JIPPO
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
03.03.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 2-2 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FINYK
12.10.2019 JIPPO JIPPO 8-1 HT 2-1 JaPS JaPS FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
1-5
AWAY JIPPO
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH JaPS vs JIPPO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JIPPO swept aside JaPS 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was JaPS at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, JaPS had 49% of the ball to JIPPO's 51%, shots finished 4-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, JIPPO led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for JaPS and 5.00 for JIPPO.

What was the final score of JaPS vs JIPPO?

JaPS 1-5 JIPPO in the Finland - Ykkönen on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs JIPPO?

Before kick-off our model rated a JaPS win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split JaPS 45%, draw 24%, JIPPO 32%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JaPS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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