SalPa Salo 0-1 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.75
No
38%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.1
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.77
6+ Goals
12%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
+9.3pp
38%
BTTS No
47%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
2.02/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.80
+44% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +67%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
1W-1D-1L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINYK
05.08.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 3-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
27.05.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-1 HT 0-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
0-1
AWAY TPS Turku
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku squeezed past SalPa Salo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day TPS Turku made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 42% of the ball to TPS Turku's 58%, shots finished 4-21.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SalPa Salo and 1.00 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs TPS Turku?

SalPa Salo 0-1 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykkönen on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 33%, draw 31%, TPS Turku 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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