KaPa 4-0 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 12 May 2024

KaPa
4-0 HT 2-0
Mikkeli
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
13%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
2.53/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.81
+71% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mikkeli
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.06.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 6-2 HT 4-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
16.04.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-0 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
4-0
AWAY Mikkeli
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KaPa vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa swept aside Mikkeli 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KaPa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, KaPa had 60% of the ball to Mikkeli's 40%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KaPa and 3.00 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of KaPa vs Mikkeli?

KaPa 4-0 Mikkeli in the Finland - Ykkönen on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated a KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KaPa 41%, draw 31%, Mikkeli 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KaPa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KaPa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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