FC Jazz 1-4 RoPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 12 May 2024

FC Jazz
1-4 HT 1-3
RoPS
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
2.89
Over 2.5
71%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
6.36
2-3 Goals
39%
2.11
4-5 Goals
33%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-7.6pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.3pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.0pp
29%
Under 2.5
31%
-2.1pp
71%
Over 2.5
69%
+2.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.1pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Jazz EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY RoPS EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
3.38/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+47% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
454 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH FC Jazz vs RoPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RoPS cruised past FC Jazz 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Jazz at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

What was the final score of FC Jazz vs RoPS?

FC Jazz 1-4 RoPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Jazz vs RoPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Jazz win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FC Jazz 58%, draw 17%, RoPS 25%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Jazz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Jazz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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