10/07/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Vaajakoski vs KuPS Ak. Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
12%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
28%
Draw
23%
40%
Away Win
36%
46%
Under 2.5
38%
54%
Over 2.5
62%
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
45%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vaajakoski v KuPS Ak. — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vaajakoski
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
KuPS Ak.
EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
286 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
416 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Vaajakoski vs KuPS Ak. Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Vaajakoski
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
KuPS Ak.
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
5.00
59%
Ball Possession
41%
7
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
10
8
Corners
6
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Vaajakoski vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vaajakoski and KuPS Ak. couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Vaajakoski vs KuPS Ak.?
Vaajakoski 2-2 KuPS Ak. in the FİN3 on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vaajakoski vs KuPS Ak.?
Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Ak. win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vaajakoski 33%, draw 28%, KuPS Ak. 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KuPS Ak.) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (KuPS Ak.)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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