10/07/2024
·
05:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Tucson vs AMSG Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
22%
Draw
21%
24%
Away Win
16%
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
58%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tucson v AMSG — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tucson
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
AMSG
EU Bookmakers 20%
+33% /
+33%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+31%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
16
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
386 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
318 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tucson vs AMSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tucson got the better of AMSG 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tucson as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Tucson vs AMSG?
Tucson 2-0 AMSG in the USA - USL League 2 on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tucson vs AMSG?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tucson win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tucson 54%, draw 22%, AMSG 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tucson), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Tucson)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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USL2
More USA - USL League 2
10 Jul 2024