West Virginia Chaos 2-1 Tobacco Road — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 10 Jul 2024

📅10/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.2pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Virginia Chaos EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobacco Road EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Virginia Chaos
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Tobacco Road
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
01.06.2024 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 1-2 HT 1-1 West Virginia Chaos West Virginia Chaos USL2
06.07.2023 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 2-2 HT 1-1 West Virginia Chaos West Virginia Chaos USL2
POST-MATCH West Virginia Chaos vs Tobacco Road
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Virginia Chaos edged past Tobacco Road 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had West Virginia Chaos as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, West Virginia Chaos had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for West Virginia Chaos and 1.50 for Tobacco Road.

What was the final score of West Virginia Chaos vs Tobacco Road?

West Virginia Chaos 2-1 Tobacco Road in the USA - USL League 2 on 10/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Virginia Chaos vs Tobacco Road?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Virginia Chaos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split West Virginia Chaos 48%, draw 20%, Tobacco Road 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Virginia Chaos), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (West Virginia Chaos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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