New England Revolution 1-2 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 10 Jul 2025

New England Revolution
1-2 HT 0-2
Inter Miami
📅10/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
USA - Major League – 2025

New England Revolution vs Inter Miami Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.64
2-3 Goals
35%
2.16
4-5 Goals
28%
2.39
6+ Goals
16%
4.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.49
1/2
8%
19.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
7%
7.74
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
5.54
X/X
11%
6.66
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
15%
2.68
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · X/2 at 5.54 — our 20% vs market 14.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.3pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

New England Revolution v Inter Miami — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.15/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.57
-30% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
353 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 481 · 87%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
19.0 Crosses 11.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

New England Revolution vs Inter Miami Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.45 xG 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
420 Passes 403
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 6-2 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
28.04.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-4 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
11.06.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 3-1 HT 2-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
14.05.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 2-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
01.05.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
09.04.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-2 HT 2-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD

New England Revolution 1-2 Inter Miami — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-2
AWAY Inter Miami
1.40 xG 1.12
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
385 Passes 499
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami nicked a narrow win over New England Revolution 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, New England Revolution had 44% of the ball to Inter Miami's 56%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.40 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for New England Revolution and 2.67 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Inter Miami?

New England Revolution 1-2 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 33%, draw 24%, Inter Miami 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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