AC Connecticut 1-4 Black Rock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.7pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Connecticut EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Black Rock EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.78/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +60%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Connecticut
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Black Rock
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.07.2023 Black Rock Black Rock 0-2 AC Connecticut AC Connecticut USL2
25.05.2023 AC Connecticut AC Connecticut 0-1 HT 0-0 Black Rock Black Rock USL2
POST-MATCH AC Connecticut vs Black Rock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Black Rock cruised past AC Connecticut 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Black Rock made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AC Connecticut and 0.50 for Black Rock.

What was the final score of AC Connecticut vs Black Rock?

AC Connecticut 1-4 Black Rock in the USA - USL League 2 on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Connecticut vs Black Rock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Black Rock win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AC Connecticut 39%, draw 22%, Black Rock 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Black Rock), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Black Rock) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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